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Hamburger SV vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 17

Bundesliga - Gameweek 17

Wednesday, 4 Mar 2026 • 20:30

Hamburger SV

0 : 1

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals

73'
0 : 1
Christian Kofa...
0 : 1
Christian Kofane73'

Game Review

In a tightly contested Bundesliga clash, Bayer 04 Leverkusen edged out Hamburger SV with a narrow 1-0 victory, thanks to a decisive goal from Christian Kofane (GAP +2.5%) in the 73rd minute. The match, held on Wednesday, 4 March 2026, saw both teams battling for supremacy, but it was Leverkusen who managed to capitalize on their opportunities. The game was largely balanced, with Hamburger SV showing resilience and determination. However, it was Bayer Leverkusen's tactical discipline and individual brilliance that ultimately made the difference. Alex Grimaldo (GAP +5.1%) and Exequiel Palacios (GAP +4.3%) were instrumental in maintaining control in the midfield, providing the necessary support for their team to secure the win. Hamburger SV's lineup featured no changes from their previous match, indicating a level of consistency in their approach. Despite this, they struggled to break down Leverkusen's defense, which was marshaled effectively by Edmond Tapsoba (GAP +4.0%). The home side introduced several substitutes, including William Mikelbrencis and Albert Sambi Lokonga, in an attempt to inject fresh energy into their attack, but these changes did not yield the desired result. Bayer Leverkusen, on the other hand, made strategic substitutions, bringing in Malik Tillman and Ezequiel Fernández to bolster their midfield and maintain their slender lead. The away team's ability to adapt and manage the game effectively was a testament to their tactical acumen. This victory propels Bayer Leverkusen further up the Bundesliga table, enhancing their momentum as they continue to challenge for a top spot. For Hamburger SV, the defeat serves as a reminder of the competitive nature of the league and the need to capitalize on home advantage. As the season progresses, both teams will be keen to refine their strategies and improve their standings in the league.

Lineups

Hamburger SV

PosPlayer
GK
Daniel Fernandes
DEF
Warmed Omari
DEF
Giorgi Gocholeishvili
DEF
Luka Vušković
MID
Bakery Jatta
MID
Fábio Vieira
MID
Daniel Elfadli
MID
Nicolai Remberg
FWD
Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
FWD
Damion Downs
UNK
Rayan Philippe

Substitutes

29'William Mikelbrencisfor Bakery Jatta
65'Otto Stangefor Rayan Philippe
65'Jordan Torunarighafor Warmed Omari
65'Jean-Luc Dompefor Damion Downs
81'Albert Sambi Lokongafor Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

PosPlayer
GK
Janis Blaswich
DEF
Alex Grimaldo
DEF
Edmond Tapsoba
DEF
Jarell Quansah
MID
Exequiel Palacios
MID
Robert Andrich
MID
Aleix García
MID
Montrell Amare Culbreath
FWD
Martin Terrier
FWD
Ibrahim Maza
FWD
Christian Kofane

Substitutes

71'Malik Tillmanfor Martin Terrier
90'Ezequiel Fernándezfor Ibrahim Maza
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
6Bayer 04 Leverkusen2413474529+1643
D
W
L
D
W
11Hamburger SV2468102635-926
W
W
D
L
L

Last Games

Hamburger SV

vsRB Leipzig
1 - 2
@FSV Mainz 05
1 - 1
vsUnion Berlin
3 - 2
@FC Heidenheim
2 - 0
vsFC Bayern München
2 - 2

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

vsFSV Mainz 05
1 - 1
@Union Berlin
0 - 1
vsSt. Pauli
4 - 0
@Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 - 1
@Eintracht Frankfurt
3 - 1

Head-to-Head

04 Mar 2026
Hamburger SV0 - 1Bayer 04 Leverkus...
04 Mar 2026Hamburger SV
0 - 1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bundesliga

Gameweek 17

13 Jan • 18:30
VfB Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 - 2
13 Jan • 20:30
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
3 - 0
13 Jan • 20:30
FSV Mainz 05
FC Heidenheim
2 - 1
14 Jan • 18:30
VfL Wolfsburg
St. Pauli
2 - 1
14 Jan • 20:30
1. FC Köln
FC Bayern München
1 - 3
14 Jan • 20:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5 - 1
14 Jan • 20:30
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
2 - 0
15 Jan • 20:30
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
1 - 1
04 Mar • 20:30
Hamburger SV
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.